Kick-off: 1330, 16/12/2018
Stadium: St Mary’s Stadium
TV: Sky Sports
Trueform shows exactly how well football teams have been playing, helping you to spot potential value bets. See who has performed above expectations and which teams are being underestimated by oddsmakers.
What Trueform says for Southampton vs Arsenal
Arsenal are unbeaten in 14 Premier League matches and will be confident of extending that sequence when visiting struggling Southampton.
Saints last won on September 1 and new boss Ralph Hasenhuttl failed to inspire an upturn in fortunes when they lost at Cardiff last weekend.
The formbook clearly points to an away victory at 9/10 for our initial Southampton vs Arsenal prediction.
A Look At Southampton’s Betting Odds
Hasenhuttl only had two days with the Southampton squad before his opening game, so it was surprising to see him make six changes for the trip to Wales.
Their fragile confidence was reflected in a first half in which Cardiff dominated and should have been ahead.
The Saints improved after the break and had two penalty claims turned down, but then Jannik Vestergaard gifted Callum Paterson a 74th-minute winner.
Left-back Matt Targett said of the new boss: “He is very intense and demands a lot from you. You can see straight away that he is going to ask a lot from each position.
“When I say intense, I mean lots of sprints – much more than we have been doing. Lots of pressing and getting in faces.
“He likes to get involved and will tell you if you are doing it wrong. If you are, then you are out. Simple as that.
“He has given chances to different people who were not getting a look-in with Mark Hughes. So, it is a clean slate for everyone and if you impress him then you will start.”
Shaking things up so drastically is a risky tactic and we fear Saints may need more time to adjust, so 29/10 for the Gunners to prevail by a one-goal margin takes the eye from the Southampton vs Arsenal odds.
Last Southampton line-up: McCarthy, Vestergaard, Targett, Bednarek, Valery, Romeu, Armstrong, Lemina, Redmond, Hojbjerg, Austin.
Southampton will be without injured defenders Ryan Betrand and Jack Stephens, but are boosted by the return to fitness of strikers Danny Ings (hamstring) and Shane Long (ankle), plus right-back Cedric Soares (calf).
A Look At Arsenal’s Betting Odds
Arsenal found Huddersfield hard to break down at Emirates Stadium, but it was reasonable to expect a drop in intensity after beating Tottenham 3-1 and drawing 2-2 at Manchester United.
Despite struggling for their usual fluidity and having a first-half goal from Alexandre Lacazette disallowed, the Gunners still came through thanks to Lucas Torreira’s 83rd-minute finish.
“We have a lot of things to improve and do better, but we can be happy,” said Granit Xhaka. “We have a good team, a good spirit.
“It was a difficult game and Huddersfield played the whole game one against one, but 1-0 and three points is the most important thing for us.”
The London outfit are showing much more versatility under Unai Emery and the feeling is that they are now able to adapt to different challenges.
However, the Huddersfield game was yet another example of how they tend to come on stronger in the second half of matches.
Let’s finish off our Southampton vs Arsenal betting tips by taking 4/1 for a draw at the interval and then the Gunners to prevail.
Last Arsenal EPL line-up: Leno, Bellerin, Papastathopoulos, Lichtsteiner, Mustafi, Kolasinac, Torreira, Guendouzi, Xhaka, Lacazette, Aubameyang.
Laurent Koscielny is the only recognised centre-back available for Arsenal but has only just returned from a long-term Achilles problem himself.
Sokratis Papastathopoulos and Shkodran Mustafi are suspended, while Rob Holding (knee) and Konstantinos Mavropanos (groin) are injured, with striker Danny Welbeck (ankle) and midfielder Emile Smith Rowe (hip) also sidelined.
Cardiff 1-0 SOUTHAMPTON
ARSENAL 1-0 Qarabag – Alexandre Lacazette
Head-to-head: Arsenal 3-2 Southampton, Southampton 1-1 Arsenal, Southampton 0-2 Arsenal, Southampton 0-5 Arsenal, Arsenal 0-2 Southampton
Join bwin today and receive up to £20 money back as a FreeBet if your first wager at odds of 1/1 (2.0) or greater is a loser! Terms and conditions apply.
Stay close to the action with the bwin app. Access more markets than any other betting provider and scan our in-depth football statistics menu to find and make your bet selections fast. Download now the best betting app.